ProBet
Place Betting Strategy - Part Two.
Over the last 4- 5 years, the serious bets we have,
ie The ProBet Recs and The Special Bets have a place strike rate of around
78-80%. This means that our serious bets finish either first, second or third
nearly 80% of the time and therefore it would seem logical to incorporate a
place betting strategy in to our overall betting activities.
I use a strategy called running place doubles, so
called because with each selection we are both starting and finishing a betting
sequence (double)
Essentially it is an all-up on two horses for a place
only.
Let's look at an example of RPD's using some of our
recent selections -
1. Maestro Of Murano – won, place price = $1.32
2. Heart Of The Citi – won, place price = $1.82
3. Easy Silence – won, place price = $1.05
4. Minashee – second, place price = $1.32
5. Bianreal - third, placed price = $2.03
I have used IASBet place prices but you may
do better by using Betfair.
Using these five horses the sequence of running
doubles look like this –
1/2, 2/3, 3/4,
4/5.
So those 5 horses provides four place double
bets. Let's work through the first place double.
You would put $100 on Maestro Of Murano for a
place only. Assuming the horse does place you will be returned $132 ($1.32 x $100). You then
hold on to that $132 until the next bet comes along. That happened to be Heart
Of The Citi.
So you then place your $132 on to Heart Of The Citi
for a place only. Assuming he is also placed then you would be returned $240 -
which is $132 multiplied by the odds of $1.82. Your initial outlay was $100 and
as you have been returned a total of $240 you have made a clear profit of $140.
So let’s say you did each place double for $100, your
outlay on those four place doubles would be $400. Here is what the doubles look
like with the odds shown, the stake and the total returns -
1. $1.32 x $1.82 = $2.40 x $100 stake = $240
2. $1.82 x $1.05 = $1.91 x $100 stake = $191
3. $1.05 x $1.32 = $1.38 x $100 stake = $138
4. $1.32 x $2.03 = $2.68 x $100 stake = $268
Total Return = $837.
Outlay =
$400.
Total Profit = $437.
This
is a very powerful way of making money by betting horses for a place and I
recommend that this be done using the serious bets we have on the ProBet
Service.
If you do not understand this approach then feel free
to email me
david@probet.info
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